Publications

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Fortes, P, Simoes S, Gouveia JP, Seixas J.  2019.   Electricity, the silver bullet for the deep decarbonisation of the energy system? Cost-effectiveness analysis for Portugal. Applied Energy. 237:292-303.
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Flores, M, Seixas J.  2017.   How the European Directive cost-effectiveness model to nZEB fails widely 2050 decarbonisation goals., 29-30 Oct. XIII Congresso Ibero-Americano de Engenharia Mecânica. , Lisboa, Portugal
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Gouveia, JP, Seixas J, Mestre A, Miguel L.  2016.   Intertwining sectoral electricity consumption profiles at city level, 19-22 June . 39th International Association for Energy Economics. , Bergen. Norway: Norwegian School of Economics
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Dias, L, Fortes P, Gouveia J, Seixas J.  2012.   Potencial de Eficiência Energética em Portugal para cenários de Longo Prazo, 22 June. PCEEE – Portugal em Conferência para uma Ecónomia Energéticamente Eficiente. , Coimbra, Portugal: Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade de Coimbra
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Seixas, J, Fortes P, Dias L.  2013.   Renewable power cost supply curves (AIC) TIMES_PT: Portugal, 17 June. IRENA-ETSAP joint Session. , Paris, France
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Simões, S, Seixas J, Huppes G.  2005.   tangled web: assessing overlaps between energy and environmental policy instruments in place along electricity systems, 30 May - 3 June. ECEEE - European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy 2005 Summer Study. , Mandelieu, France
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Dias, L, Simões S.  2016.  ) Integrative Smart City Planning – Energy system modelling for the city of Évora, 30-31 May . ETSAP Workshop . , Cork, Ireland
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Seixas, J.  2015.  Are hybrid models well equipped to assess resilience to external shocks? The case of energy and climate., 1 June INFER Workshop on Modelling Economic Resilience to External Shocks. , Business and Economics Department, University of the Azores. Ponta Delgada
Simoes, S, Fortes P, Dias L, Seixas J.  2015.  Assessing critical metal needs for a low carbon energy system in 2050, 19-22 May. EEM15. 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market. , Lisbon, Portugal
Seixas, J, Simões S, Dias L, Kanudia A, Fortes P, Gargiulo M.  2015.  Assessing the cost-effectiveness of electric vehicles in European countries using integrated modeling. Energy Policy. 80(May 2015):165-176. AbstractWebsite

Electric vehicles (EVs) are considered alternatives to internal combustion engines due to their energy efficiency and contribution to CO2 mitigation. The adoption of EVs depends on consumer preferences, including cost, social status and driving habits, although it is agreed that current and expected costs play a major role. We use a partial equilibrium model that minimizes total energy system costs to assess whether EVs can be a cost-effective option for the consumers of each EU27 member state up to 2050, focusing on the impact of different vehicle investment costs and CO2 mitigation targets. We found that for an EU-wide greenhouse gas emission reduction cap of 40% and 70% by 2050 vis-à-vis 1990 emissions, battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are cost-effective in the EU only by 2030 and only if their costs are 30% lower than currently expected. At the EU level, vehicle costs and the capability to deliver both short- and long-distance mobility are the main drivers of BEV deployment. Other drivers include each state’s national mobility patterns and the cost-effectiveness of alternative mitigation options, both in the transport sector, such as plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) or biofuels, and in other sectors, such as renewable electricity.

Brás, T, Seixas J.  2017.  Assessing the impact of climate extremes and energy use in crop production – EU28 agri-food suppliers, 18-20 Sep.. Fifth Annual International Conference on Sustainable Development. , New York, USA: Columbia University
Simoes, SG, Marogna N, Fortes P.  2017.  Assessing water needs for power production in Iberian Peninsula at watershed level, 13 December. ETSAP Workshop on modelling the water-energy nexus. , Zurich, Switzerland: ETH Zurich
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Fortes, P, Proença S, Simoes SG, Seixas J.  2017.  Can green power lead to green growth? A study for Portugal 15th IAEE European Conference "Heading towards sustainable energy systems: Evolution or Revolution?". , Vienna, Austria. 3-6 September, https://www.aaee.at/iaee2017/: Hofburg Congress Center
Kanudia, A, Boavida D, van den Broek M, Cabal H, Gargiulo M, Gouveia JP, Labriet M, Seixas J, Tosato GC.  2012.  CCS infrastructure development scenarios for the integrated Iberian Peninsula and Morocco energy system, 18-22 November. GHGT_11, Conference session #9 on “CCS technology assessment and system integration”. , Kyoto International Conference Center, Japan
Giannakidis, G, Gargiulo M, De Miglio R, Chiodi A, Seixas J, Simoes SG, Dias L, Gouveia J.  2018.  Challenges faced when addressing the role of cities towards a below 2-degree world. Limiting Global Warming to Well Below 2°C: Energy System Modelling and Policy Development. (Giannakidis G., K. Karlsson, M. Labriet, B. Ó Gallachóir, Eds.).: Lecture Notes in Energy 64. Springer International publishing. Doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-74424-7
Simoes, S, Nijs W, Ruiz P, Sgobbi A, Thiel C.  2017.  Comparing policy routes for low-carbon power technology deployment in EU – an energy system analysis. Energy Policy. 101:353–365.
Simões, S, Cleto J, Fortes P, Seixas J, Huppes G.  2008.  Cost of energy and environmental policy in Portuguese CO2 abatement—scenario analysis to 2020. Energy Policy. 36:3598–3611., Number 9 AbstractWebsite

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Gouveia, JP, Seixas J, Mestre A.  2016.  Daily Electricity Profiles from Smart Meters - Proxies of Active Behaviour for Space Heating and Cooling, 8-9 September. BEHAVE 4th European Conference on Behaviour and Energy Efficiency. , Coimbra, Portugal
Gouveia, JP, Seixas J, Mestre A.  2017.  Daily Electricity Profiles from Smart Meters - Proxies of Active Behaviour for Space Heating and Cooling. Energy. 141:108-122. AbstractWebsite

Daily electricity consumption profiles from smart meters are explored as proxies of active behavior regarding space heating and cooling. The influence of the environment air temperature (multiple maximum and minimum daily thresholds) on electricity consumption was explored for a final sample of 19 households located in southwestern Europe (characterized by hot, dry summers and cool, wet winters), taking the full year of 2014. Statistical analysis of the deviations from hourly average electricity consumptions for each temperature thresholds was performed for each household. Firstly, these deviations could act as proxies highlighting possible lack of thermal comfort on space cooling, and partially on space heating, supported by door-to-door survey data, on socio-economic details of occupants, buildings bearing structure and equipment's ownership and use. Secondly, meaningful differences of consumers' behavior on electricity consumption pattern were identified as a response for space heating and cooling to the environment air temperatures thresholds. Additionally, statistical clusters of active and non-active behavior groups of households were assessed, showing the electricity use for space heating. This paper illustrates the importance of the widespread use of smart-meters data on the increasingly electrified buildings sector, to understand whether and how thermal comfort could be achieved through active climatization behavior of its occupants. This is particularly important in regions where automatic HVAC systems are almost absent.

Collaço, F, Simoes SG, Dias L, Duic N, Seixas J, Bermann C.  2019.  The dawn of urban energy planning – synergies between energy and urban planning for São Paulo (Brazil) megacity. Journal of Cleaner Production. 215:458-479,doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.01.013.
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Glynn, J, Fortes P, Krook-Riekkola A, Labriet M, Vielle M, Kypreos S, Lehtilä A, Mischke P, Dai H, Gargiulo M, Helgesen PI, Kober T, Summerton P, Merven B, Selosse S, Karlsson K, Strachan N, ÓGallachóir B.  2015.  Economic Impacts of Future Changes in the Energy System—Global Perspectives. Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. 30(George Giannakidis, Labriet, Maryse, Brian ÓGallachóir, GianCarlo Tosato, Eds.).:333-358.: Springer International Publishing Abstract
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Glynn, J, Fortes P, Krook-Riekkola A, Labriet M, Vielle M, Kypreos S, Lehtilä A, Mischke P, Dai H, Gargiulo M, Helgesen PI, Kober T, Summerton P, Merven B, Selosse S, Karlsson K, Strachan N, ÓGallachóir B.  2015.  Economic Impacts of Future Changes in the Energy System—National Perspectives. Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models. 30(George Giannakidis, Labriet, Maryse, Brian ÓGallachóir, GianCarlo Tosato, Eds.).:359-387.: Springer International Publishing Abstract
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Gouveia, JP, Dias L, Martins I, Seixas J.  2014.  Effects of renewables penetration on the security of Portuguese electricity supply. Applied Energy. 123:438–447. AbstractWebsite

The increase of renewables in power sector, together with the increase of their electricity share in final energy consumption, is changing our perception about energy security with diverse and contradictory statements. The Portuguese security of electricity supply is analyzed in this study by comparing selected indicators for 2. years before and after the high increase of onshore wind since 2005. Our goal is to find how the security of electricity supply was impacted by the penetration of renewables, taking a supply chain approach. Our analysis highlights that the penetration of renewables has decreased the energy dependence of the power sector by more than 20% between 2004 and 2011, while risks related to the concentration of natural gas suppliers and to the still-high share of fossil fuels suffering from price volatility are discussed. We observed a significant improvement in power interconnections with Spain, as well as an increase of the de-rated generation capacity margin, allowing proper management of renewable power intermittency if necessary, thereby improving power security. Although the share of intermittent renewables almost quadrupled in total installed capacity between those years, the indicators reveal an improvement in the quality of transport and distribution when delivering electricity to end-users. Although electricity prices increased, mainly due to taxes, the lack of energy efficiency is an aspect deserving improvement to alleviate the pressure on electricity security, mainly at high peak demands.